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Friday, August 23, 2013

AG2 TROPICAL REPORT AUGUST 23 2013

01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 26.7N 168.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 26.7N 168.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 27.6N 168.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 28.4N 167.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 29.0N 166.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 29.8N 165.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 33.1N 164.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 38.8N 166.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 18.5N 112.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N 112.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 19.8N 112.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 21.5N 113.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 23.3N 113.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 25.1N 114.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 27.0N 115.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 28.0N 116.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
S$
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
...POTENTIAL FOR WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN
LUCAS IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWARD...REACHING THE COAST OF CENTRAL
BAJA BY SUNDAY. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SYSTEM THEREAFTER IS IN
QUESTION...WITH SOME MODELS SHOWING A TRACK OVER NORTHERN BAJA
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...AND OTHERS SHOWING THE SYSTEM WOBBLING OFF
THE COAST AND DISSIPATING.
AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS AS THOUGH MOISTURE WITH THIS TROPICAL
SYSTEM WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHERN BAJA AND THE DESERTS OF SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA SUNDAY...WHERE THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL. NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN OUR REGION ON SUNDAY.
SUNDAY COULD BECOME A RATHER HOT DAY AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE
FORECAST TO TURN OFFSHORE. THIS COULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO SOAR
ABOVE 100 DEGREES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE VALLEYS...LOWER ELEVATIONS
IN THE MOUNTAINS AND THE ANTELOPE VALLEY...DEPENDING UPON THE AMOUNT
OF MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS THAT SPREADS INTO THE REGION. IN ADDITION...
INLAND PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL PLAIN COULD SEE A GOOD RISE IN
TEMPERATURES.
THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME INCREASE IN LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...BUT IT APPEARS THAT
THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED TO
THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES COUNTY AND THE ANTELOPE VALLEY.
INCREASED HUMIDITY LEVELS ON MONDAY WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
INCREASED DISCOMFORT. HOWEVER...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH CLOUD COVER
TO KEEP HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING THRESHOLDS.
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE RATHER HIGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY NIGHT...LIKELY REMAINING IN THE 70S IN SOME VALLEY AND
FOOTHILL LOCATIONS...AND POSSIBLY FALLING ONLY TO NEAR 80 DEGREES
IN THE ANTELOPE VALLEY.
SINCE THERE IS STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE
MONITOR WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES ON THE INTERNET...OR STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE NEWS SOURCE ON THIS DEVELOPING
WEATHER SITUATION.
from mymix1065.com
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