AG2 Tropical Storm Final Warning December 27 2012'

Tropical Depression 27W Warning #09 Final Warning
Dec 27, 2012
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp2712.gif
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//RMKS/1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING
NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED
WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER
ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 10.5N 118.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE
TO WITHIN020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 118.6E ---
FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 10.2N 116.4E MAX SUSTAINED
WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24
HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 9.9N
114.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID
OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
OVER WATER ---REMARKS:262100Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 118.1E.TROPICAL
DEPRESSION (TD) 27W (WUKONG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285
NMSOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAD
TRACKEDWEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
ANIMATEDENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATIONCENTER HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED AND RAGGED AS THE MAIN
CONVECTION WASSHEARED ALMOST 200 NM TO THENORTH. THE SAME ANIMATION
SHOWS THECONVECTIVE TOPS HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY WARMED AS THE BANDS
UNRAVELED ANDDISPERSED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS
05 DEGREESSOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG
(20-30 KNOT)SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). THE CYCLONE IS
TRACKING ALONGTHE SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE TO THENORTH. IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN 12 HOURS DUE TO THE
HIGH VWS,EXACERBATED BY A COLD NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WIND SURGE IN THE
SOUTHCHINA SEA. THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS IN GOODAGREEMENT
WITHTHE SOLE EXCEPTION OF WBAR THAT CONTINUES TO BRING THE
VORTEXNORTHWARD INTO THE STEERING RIDGE. THIS TRACK FORECAST, LAID
WITHHIGH CONFIDENCE, IS SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF AND SLOWER THAN CONSENSUS
TOOFFSET WBAR. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY
THEJOINTTYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITOREDFOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
261800ZIS 11 FEET. //

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