Soil Moisture
http://www.drought.gov/imageserver/NIDIS/content/forecasting/images/palmer_outlook_thumb.gif
The Climate Prediction Center produces a four-month Palmer Drought
Severity Index outlook as tabular data for each climate division. The
Palmer index assesses total moisture by using temperature and
precipitation to compute water supply and demand and soil moisture. It
is considered most relevant for non-irrigated cropland and primarily
reflects long-term drought.
http://www.drought.gov/imageserver/NIDIS/content/forecasting/images/currend-3rain-pg.gif
The Palmer drought model featuresthe capability to compute the amount
of precipitation that would be required to end a drought or reduce
(ameliorate) a drought's severity. Maps of the precipitation needed,
and the probability of receiving it based on historical records, are
available from the National Climatic Data Center .
http://www.drought.gov/imageserver/NIDIS/content/forecasting/images/curr.w.mrf.daily.thumb.gif
One- and two-week forecasts of soil moisture anomalies , (that is, the
difference between seasonal normal and current), based on the Global
Forecast System (GFS) model are available. The monthly and seasonal
forecasts of soil moisture anomalies produced by theConstructed Analog
on Soil Moisture (CAS) model are also available.
http://www.drought.gov/imageserver/NIDIS/content/forecasting/images/sm_qnt_thumb.gif
The Experimental Surface Water Monitor , from the University of
Washington, provides analyses of soil moisture, snow water equivalent
and other water-related variables.
http://www.drought.gov/imageserver/NIDIS/content/forecasting/images/200710_tsm_thumb.gif
Experimental Soil Moisture Forecasts , up to six months, are available
at Princeton University's Drought Monitoring and Forecasting project
web site. These forecasts are based on a statistical design called the
Extended Stream-flow Prediction (ESP) and a dynamic seasonal model
called the Climate Forecast System (CFS).
http://www.drought.gov/imageserver/NIDIS/content/forecasting/images/daypercen_thumb.gif
NOAA and NASA are collaborating on the Land Data Assimilation Systems
(LDAS) experimental drought monitor to provide soil-moisture maps
derived from near real-time estimates.
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