DECEMBER ICE EDGE TO SAINT PAUL ISLAND

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERSNATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA640 PM AKDT FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 14 2012
...THE SEPTEMBER 2012 ICE OUTLOOK FOLLOWS THE FORECASTS...FORECAST
VALID...WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 19 2012 ANALYSIS
CONFIDENCE...MODERATE.SYNOPSIS...A POLAR LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BEAUFORT
WILL MOVE OVER THECHUKCHI SEA SATURDAY AND MERGE WITH A DEVELOPING LOW
MOVING UP THEALASKA WEST COAST. THE RESULTING VERY STRONG COMPLEX LOW
WILL REMAINNEAR THE NORTHWEST ALASKA COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FZAK80 PAFC 150239ICEAFCSEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC
ALASKAN COASTAL WATERSNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA640 PM
AKDT FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 14 2012 ...THE SEPTEMBER 2012 ICE OUTLOOK
FOLLOWS THE FORECASTS... FORECAST VALID...WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 19 2012
ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE.SYNOPSIS...A POLAR LOW OVER THE CENTRAL
BEAUFORT WILL MOVE OVER THECHUKCHI SEA SATURDAY AND MERGE WITH A
DEVELOPING LOW MOVING UP THEALASKA WEST COAST. THE RESULTING VERY
STRONG COMPLEX LOW WILL REMAINNEAR THE NORTHWEST ALASKA COAST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. -ARCTIC OCEAN--BEAUFORT SEA--CHUKCHI SEA- PKZ505-CENTRAL US
ARCTIC OFFSHORE-PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE- PKZ235-POINT
FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- THE
ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE RUSSIAN COAST NEAR 66.9N 171.7W TO 68.9N178.2W
TO 70N 178.5W TO 70.9N 175W TO 71.1N 164.4W TO 70.9N 162.9W TO72.3N
159.8W TO 73.8N 165.3W TO 77.1N 162.2W TO 77.9N 155W TO 75.2N137.3W TO
73.8N 129.3W TO THEWESTERN COAST OF BANKS ISLAND NEAR73.9N 124.5W.
THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY 1 TO 6 TENTHS NEW...YOUNG AND OLD ICE. FORECAST
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WEST OF 155W AND SOUTH OF 74N... NORTHTO NORTHWEST
FLOW WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME SOUTHERLY SUNDAY AS THELOW MOVES OVER
THE AREA. FLOW WILL BECOME STRONG EASTERLY SUNDAYNIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. LIGHTER NORTHERLY FLOW WILLRETURN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY. THE ICE WILL MOVE LESS THAN 5 NMTHROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
WEST ICE MOVEMENT WILL BEGIN SUNDAY NIGHT. BYTUESDAY MORNING THE ICE
WILL HAVE MOVED 45 TO 65 NM TO THE WEST. ICEMOVEMENT WILL SLOW TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. THE NET ICE MOVEMENT WILLBE 50 T0 75 NM TO THE WEST.
FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WEST OF 155W AND NORTH OF 74N...SOUTHEAST
FLOW WILL CONTINUETHROUGH SUNDAY. FLOW WILL BECOME EASTAND INCREASE
EARLY MONDAY. STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTOWEDNESDAY. THE
ICE WILL MOVE TO THE WEST 65 T0 80 NM WILL ADDITIONALCHANGE IN THE ICE
EDGE DUE TO MELTING. FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY...EAST OF
155W...COLDER SOUTHEAST FLOWWILL ALLOW NEW ICE TO DEVELOP AND INCREASE
ICE CONCENTRATIONS THROUGHSUNDAY. MUCH STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL DIMINISHWEDNESDAY AND TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST.
SIGNIFICANT ICE MOVEMENT WILLBEGIN SUNDAY NIGHT. BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THE ICE WILL HAVE MOVED 40TO 60 NM TO THE WEST. TUESDAYNIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY THE ICE WILL MOVETO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 NM.THE NET ICE
MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THEWEST NORTHWEST 50 TO 75 NM. KCOLE 2012$$
...SEPTEMBER 2012 ICE OUTLOOK... EVENT
2012 OUTLOOK DATENEW ICE AK BEAUFORT COAST 5
OCTOBERNEW ICE AK CHUKCHI COAST NORTH OF 70N 3 OCTOBERBEAUFORT
SEA ICE COVER GREATER 15 OCTOBERTHAN 5 TENTHSROUTE
AROUND POINT BARROW CLOSED 17 OCTOBERCHUKCHI ICE EDGE AT
71N 1 TO 5 NOVEMBERNOT INCLUDING OPEN WATER FIRST
ICE KOTZEBUE SOUND 5 TO 10 OCTOBERFIRST ICE
KIVALINA COAST 10 TO 15 OCTOBERFIRST ICE SHISHMAREF
10 TO 15 OCTOBERFIRST ICE AT BERING STRAIT
25 TO 30 OCTOBERBOTH SIDESBERING STRAIT CLOSED
15 TO 20 NOVEMBERKOTZEBUE SOUND ICE GREATER THAN 5 TENTHS
FIRST WEEK OFNOVEMBERFIRST ICE NORTON SOUND 15
TO 20 OCTOBERNORTON SOUND ICE GREATER THAN 5 TENTHS 5 TO 10
NOVEMBERFIRST ICE AK BERING COAST FROM 15 TO 20
OCTOBER60N TO NORTON SOUNDFIRST ICE BRISTOL BAY
1 TO 5 NOVEMBERICE EDGE TO SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND LAST WEEK
OF NOVEMBERICE EDGE TO SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND THIRD WEEK OF
DECEMBERICE EDGE TO SAINT PAUL ISLAND THIRD WEEK OF
JANUARY ...COOK INLET OUTLOOK... FIRST ICE NORTH AND EAST OF LINE FROM
5 TO 10 NOVEMBERSUSITNA RIVER DELTA TO POINT POSSESSIONFIRST
ICE NORTH OF FORELANDS TO LINE 15 TO 20 NOVEMBERFROM SUSITNA
RIVER TO POINT POSSESSIONFIRST ICE SOUTH OF FORELANDS
20 TO 25 NOVEMBERFIRST ICE COAST KENAI TO NIKISKI 20 TO 25
NOVEMBERICE EDGE TO KALGIN ISLAND LAST WEEK OF
DECEMBERTHE DATES IN THIS OUTLOOK ARE FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY.
THISOUTLOOK WILL BE UPDATED IN EARLY OCTOBER.
FICN10 CWIS 151500Iceberg bulletin for the East Coast waters issued by
EnvironmentCanada at 11:00 a.m. EDT Saturday15 September 2012 for
today.The next scheduled bulletin will be issued at 11:00 a.m. Sunday.
Iceberg limit at 0000 UTC estimated from the Labrador coast near5320N
5550W to 5330N 5400W to 5430N 5200W to 5600N 5215W to 6000N5900W.
Strait of Belle IsleSouth CoastSouthwestern Grand BanksSoutheastern
Grand BanksEast CoastNorthern Grand BanksNortheast CoastFunk Island
BankTail of the Grand BanksFlemishSoutheast Labrador SeaBrowns
BankGeorges BankSouthwestern ShoreLahave BankWest Scotian SlopeEastern
ShoreSableEast Scotian SlopeLaurentian FanBanquereauFourchuCabot
StraitGulf - MagdalenAnticostiGulf - Port au PortNortheast
GulfSouthwest Coast.No confirmed icebergs. Belle Isle BankSouth
Labrador Coast.No confirmed icebergs except less than 10 icebergs in
the northernsection. Mid Labrador CoastSouth Labrador SeaNorth
Labrador CoastNorthwest Labrador SeaEast Labrador Sea.Unknown number
of icebergs. All ships operating in this area are requested to report
theirposition course and ice observation every 6 hours to Ice St.
John'svia any Canadian marine radio station.
FICN14 CWIS 151400Ice forecasts for the Western and Central Arctic
issued byEnvironment Canada at 10:00 a.m. EDT Saturday 15 September
2012 fortoday tonight and Sunday.The next scheduled forecasts will be
issued at 10:00 a.m. Sunday. First ice edge estimated from Brodeur
Peninsula near 7240N 8945W to7210N 9100W to Boothia Peninsula near
7020N 9145W. Sea ice south andeast of the ice edge. Second ice edge
estimated from Prince of Wales Island near 7210N10055W to 7040N 9845W
to 7010N 9900W to Victoria Island near 6950N10050W. Sea ice north and
west ofthe ice edge. Third ice edge estimated from Victoria Island
near 7135N 11855W to7115N 11910W to Banks Island near 7125N 12100W.
Sea ice north of theice edge. Fourth ice edge estimated from Banks
Island near 7325N 12425W to7320N 13300W to 7500N 13600W then
northwestward. Sea ice north of theice edge. Prince Alfred.Open water
except 3 tenths of old ice in the northern section. Prince of Wales.1
tenth of old ice except 4 tenths of old ice in the
northeasternsection. McClintock.Forecasts available to mariners upon
request. Yukon CoastMackenzieTuktoyaktukBaillie - western half.Ice
free. Baillie - eastern halfBanksAmundsen - western halfHolman.Open
water. Amundsen - eastern halfDolphinCoronationDeaseMaudSt.
RochBathurst.Ice free. Larsen.Open water except 1 tenth of old ice
near Gateshead Island. Peel.Open water. Regent.Bergy water except 3
tenths of first-year ice including a trace ofold ice in the extreme
southeastern section. Boothia.1 tenth of first-year ice including a
trace of old ice in the centralsection except patches of 5 tenths of
first-year ice including atrace of old ice in the northeastern section
and southwesternsection. Committee.3 tenths of first-year ice
including a trace of old ice except 7tenths of first-year ice in
northwestern section. North TuktoyaktukNorth Mackenzie.Ice free.
Northwest Beaufort.Open water. West Prince Alfred.Open water except 2
tenths of old ice in the northeastern section. Contact NORDREG Canada
via marine radio for routing advice. Arcticice analysis charts can be
copied onVFA Inuvik at 0200 and 1630 UTCand on VFF Iqaluit at 0200,
0700, 1100 and 2200 UTC
FICN15 CWIS 151500Ice forecasts for Hudson and Foxe issued by
Environment Canada at11:00 a.m. EDT Saturday 15 September 2012 for
today tonight andSunday.The next scheduled forecasts will be issued at
11:00 a.m. Sunday. First ice edge estimated from Southampton Island
near 6310N 8455W toCoats island near 6250N 8335W. Sea ice north of the
ice edge. Second ice edge estimated from Coats island near 6255N 8155W
toSouthampton Island near 6325N 8105W. Sea ice west of the ice edge.
Third ice edge estimated from Southampton Island near 6350N 8020W
to6520N 7850W to 6535N 8220W to Nunavut near 6610N 8340W. Sea ice
southand west of the ice edge. Fourth ice edge estimated from Nunavut
near 6615N 8515W toSouthampton Island near 6555N 8530W. Sea ice east
of the ice edge. Fifth ice edge estimated from Melville Peninsula near
6840N 8115W to6835N 7935W to Baffin Island near 6945N 8055W. Sea ice
west of theice edge. James BayBelcherPuvirnituqCentralSouth-central
HudsonArviatRankinChurchillYorkSouth HudsonRoes Welcome - southern
half.Ice free. ResolutionUngavaNottingham.Bergy water. Coats.Special
ice warning in effect.Open water except patches of 5 tenths of
first-year ice in thenorthern section. Unusual presence of sea ice
continuing through theperiod. Roes Welcome - northern half.Open water
except strips and patches of 1 tenth of first-year ice. West Foxe.Open
water except strips and patches of 3 tenths of first-year ice inthe
southern section. Igloolik - northern half.2 tenths of first-year ice
except patches of 9 plus tenths offirst-year ice in some sheltered
bays. 5 tenths of first-year icenear the eastern entrance to Fury and
Hecla Strait except 9 plustenths of first-year ice in eastern Fury and
Hecla Strait. Igloolik - southern halfEast FoxePrince Charles.Open
water. Contact NORDREG Canada via marine radio for routing advice.
Arcticice analysis charts can be copied onVFA Inuvik at 0200 and 1630
UTCand on VFF Iqaluit at 0200, 0700, 1100 and 2200 UTC.
FICN19 CWIS 131600Ice forecasts for the Great Lakes issued by
Environment Canada at12:00 p.m. EDT Friday 13 April 2012 for today
tonight and Saturday. Forecasts have ended for the season. FECN16 CWIS
051800THIRTY DAY ICE OUTLOOK FOR THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN ARCTIC FOR
SEPTEMBER ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADAON 5 SEPTEMBER 2012.THE NEXT 30
DAY OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ON 19 SEPTEMBER 2012. Note: Last ice
outlook of the season for Kennedy Channel, Norwegian Bay and Eureka
Sound. Summary for August 17 to 31.Average air temperatures were above
normal values over the whole area. Significant events.Very large
Petermann ice island located over western Kane Basin drifting rapidly
southward. Another small Petermann ice island located in eastern
Lancaster Sound drifting eastward. Weather forecast for September 5 to
30.Average air temperatures will be above normal values over most
locations except near normal over the High Arctic. Baffin
Bay.September 5 to 30.Bergy water. Pond Inlet.September 5 to 30.Bergy
water. Admiralty Inlet Northern.September 5 to 30.Bergy water.
Lancaster Sound.September 5 to 30.Bergy water. Prince Regent
Inlet.September 5 to 30.Bergy water. Gulf of Boothia.September 5 to
15.Bergy water over the northern section becoming very open drift
first-year ice with a trace of old ice during the second week of
September. Open drift to close pack first-year ice with a trace of old
ice over the southern section becoming very open to open drift ice
during the second week of September. September 16 to 30.Bergy water
over the northern section. Very open to open drift first-year ice with
a trace of old ice over the southern section. Pelly Bay.September 5 to
15.Open water over the southern section. Open drift to close pack
first-year ice with a trace of old ice over the northern section
becoming very open drift ice during the second week of September.
September 16 to 30.Open water except for very open drift first-year
ice with a trace of old ice over the northern section. Barrow
Strait.September 5 to 30.Bergy water. Wellington Channel.September 5
to 15.Bergy water. September 16 to 30.Bergy water. New ice forming
duringthe third week of September. McDougall Sound.September 5 to
15.Very open drift old ice melting completely during the second week
of September. September 16 to 30.Bergy water. New ice forming
duringthe third week of September. Kane Basin.September 5 to 15.Very
open to open drift old ice. Newice forming in the pack ice near
mid-September. September 16 to 30.Very open to open drift old ice.
Newice in the pack ice thickening to grey ice during the last week of
September. Kennedy Channel.September 5 to 15.Open drift to close pack
old ice. New ice forming in the pack ice near mid-September. September
16 to 30.Open drift to close pack old ice. New ice in the pack ice
thickening to grey ice during the last week of September. Jones
Sound.September 5 to 15.Bergy water. September 16 to 30.Bergy water.
New ice forming over the area during the last week of September.
Norwegian Bay.September 5 to 15.Bergy water. New ice forming over the
area near mid-September. September 16 to 30.New ice thickening to grey
ice during the last week of September. Eureka Sound.September 5 to
15.Bergy water. New ice forming near mid-September. September 16 to
30.New ice thickening to grey ice during the last week of September.

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